Pat Mayo breaks down the 2023 Honda Classic, making his picks and rankings for the event, as well as previewing courses and key stats.
Pat Mayo and Jeff Fienberg announced the track and weighed the odds by choosing the 2023 Honda Classic Picks.
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The Florida swing started with a whimper rather than a rumble: that’s how the Honda ended. This is how Honda ended. The failed schedule, which is the meat of the money sandwich, has a death gate of Honda-level fraud. Over the past two weeks, adult tournaments have taken place with a prize pool of up to $20 million. the next two? Bay Hill ($20 million in prize money) and THE PLAYERS ($25 million in prize money). The $8.4 million offered by Palm Beach Gardens was enough to encourage all the top stars to take a week off.
Well, almost all the top stars. The addition of Honda regulars Son Jae-im, Sean Lowry and Billy Horschel is the only difference between the 2023 Honda Classic and the Intermediate DP World Tour. However, not everything is so bad. If you are hardcore. Min Wuoo Lee, Thomas Dirty and Adrian Meronk brought international prestige to this event. Alex Noren, Matt Kuchar, JT Poston, Aaron Wise, Chris Kirk, Davis Riley, Denny McCarthy, Harris English, Danny Willett, Cam Davis, Johnny Vegas, Taylor Pendryth and defending champion Sepp Straka are all looking to kick off their seasons.
A few weeks ago Pearson Cudi won the Korn Ferry Tour in Panama. It was his second win over KFT in the last 13 starts, but he missed three of his four starts in 2023 to match that win.
Hits Received: Odds received for total hits scored (divided by 70% DD + 30% DA) for almost par 4
The key is scoring: both holes have birdies over 30%, and no other hole on the course is over 20%.
2022: Sepstraca-102021: Matt Jones-122020: Im Sung-jae-62019: Keith Mitchell-92018: Justin Thomas-82017: Rickie Fowler-122016: Adam Scott-92015: Par Dee Harrington — 6
This is similar to the transition from the temple of the forest to the temple of water in Ocarina of Time. The Riviera, as you know, is waterless. After a simple cross-country flight, the field loads additional sleeves. This or advanced swimming lessons.
The water/sand combination makes the shuffling process extremely difficult. The GIR is just 60 percent (compared to the PGA Tour average of 66 percent) and the historical scrimmage rate is just 55 percent. Often you assume that a short game is the deciding factor for a PGA National winner, but you don’t think of scrambling in the right context. Yes, being firm around the green is important. Not surprisingly, no amount of sorcery magic could mitigate a wet start. No GIR this week doesn’t mean you’ll be hooping, it could mean trying to putt up and down from 163 yards after the throw. No, not every time, but if you’re anything like me, you always think the worst when it comes to golf.
While the ubiquitous Aqua lurks as menacingly as the mysterious new boyfriend in every true crime drama, there are some extremely complex plot points on the scoreboard. stretch. plural. Bear Trap (holes 15/16/17) has its own dedicated TV signal, so obviously everyone knows how difficult the game is. However, playing 5/6/7 holes was equally difficult. I almost counted. Since 2007, Troika has had almost the same result – 0.638 above par, plus or minus a few thousand strokes. They are tied for fourth in three-hole difficulty (not the main course) on the PGA Tour. They may not have catchy titles, PGA LIVE broadcasts, or Insta-worthy statues, but when you’re reviewing your lineup on Thursday and wondering how one guy on your list hit 80, take a look at these six holes. Bear Trap is death from a thousand cutouts, and holes 5-7 pull you off the stage by the neck with crooked numbers.
Since 2007, more than 1,600 balls have fallen into the water in a bear trap. For the first time in the course’s history, no player has gone through a bear trap without a scarecrow in 2021. However, he doesn’t play as hard as he should. Yes, the field scored a total of +230 this week, up from +277 in 2020 and a record +516 in 2018.
The PGA National is one of the toughest courses on the tour every year. All 15 holes at the PGA National are closed, which means pro shops could triple the price of shell casings and still be sold out by noon. Since 2007, more than 6,200 balls have been dropped into the water. If there were beavers in Florida, they would be building an elaborate dam at this time to water the land without electronic irrigation. There are also 67 bunkers scattered around the site, these are not simple up and down bunkers. They can cause problems.
Oh, and the wind. No, this is not the Allen boys’ football team, the uneven heating of the Earth by the sun, combined with its own rotation, creates whirlpools and gusts of air. There is usually a gusty wind in Palm Beach Gardens that turns the difficult course into a scoreboard color not normally visible in our reflective spectrum.
You would think that a sub-7200 yard course would be ideal for just about any skill set. It is logical to assume that a more accurate player with short shots will have an advantage, since he will not always be in the water. However, it is not. By the end of Sunday, recent history has favored longer hitters. As with low scrambling yards, the PGA National has one of the lowest average driving distances of any field, with 272 yards compared to 283 yards on the PGA Tour. The problem is that due to the need to lay deep shots, they are much more accurate, but can still hit the green with a short stick. This makes it easier to play two pair 5s, and longer forwards can have an advantage in playing upwind if the wind picks up.
Showdown: The DraftKings roster has a trick. As the birdie stripes become less frequent this week, players who start on the 10th hole are more likely to run three games in a row and earn those very valuable bonus points. The 18th hole, par 5, is the second most difficult hole on the course. Hole 1 is the third most difficult hole (18% birdie), so if you get lucky on hole 2, you’ll get a streak. The other turn (8-9-10) has a couple of easy holes, but #10 is the second hardest hole on the course (only 7% birdies).
2022: 42 players with over 55 DK points…only two of the top six DK price tags made it to this list. Six of DK’s top nine scorers were sold for $7,500 or less.
2021: Seven of the top nine scorers are valued at $7,600 or less (five are under $7,000). This week, all 3 of DK’s top bids were outside of DK’s top 15.
2020: Five of the top eight DK-rated players didn’t play the weekend, but two of the three who did were in the top three DK scoring that week. None of the top 7 DK scorers are worth between $7200 and $8700.
2019: Stars and bushes of SZN. There were 10 players with 75+ DK points… 6 of them for less than $7,500 and 3 for more than $10,500.
2018: All or Nothing. Four of the 10 players with $9,000 or more valuations failed to make the list, but two of the five players with $10,000+ valuations made it into the top 5 DK players of the week (JT and Noren).
2017: Fowler was the second most expensive golfer ($11,900) and paid for it with 113 DK points (the only player to score three figures). However, he is the only one of nine players priced over $8,500 to score 75+ DK points (nine players priced at $7,500 or less scored 75 DK points).
Min WOOOOOOO will certainly be underestimated as a full-time player, but he has been showing quality results over the past six months. He made eight consecutive cuts worldwide, and during that time he never finished below 13th. This included five top-five finishes, the most recent being a hit loss in the first DPWT match in Abu Dhabi. Throughout his career, the Australian has performed the brass repertoire. Just look at his win at the Scottish Open where he comes third in the race.
Vegas is waiting to crush all of our souls. He got off to a strong start in 2023 (by his standards), finishing in the top 25 at the Farmers and Phoenix and making it to the Riviera. Now, Genesis’ results won’t be good, but a closer look at his numbers reveals that a great week of hitting has been overwhelmed by a weak chip and frankly disastrous putting. Cold hitting is nothing new, but he has had some success in his career on the PGA National fields. Again, by his standards. He has competed in the last six Honda Classics and has hit three in the last four years.
Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host, short and long story producer, and host of the daily talk show The Pat Mayo Experience. (subscribe to video or audio). Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Award for Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was shortlisted for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Writer of the Year about golf). His 27 FSWA nominations lead any writer this decade and are the second most nominated in history.
Mayo is known across many sports (football, baseball, and golf), media (video, writing, and podcasting), genres (humor), and game formats (sports betting, daily fantasy, and traditional seasonal fantasy).
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Post time: Feb-21-2023